Unrealistic expectations
Visualization of narrower problems
Name(s):
Unrealistic visions of the future
Misplaced optimism
Unwarranted optimism
Naive optimism
Ingrained optimism
Over-optimistic bias
Misplaced euphoria
Panglossery
Misplaced hope
Claim
1. In scientific forecasting the most favourable outcomes that can be projected are bounded by the limits of extrapolated data. An optimistic expectation based on nothing but its desirability obstructs further information gathering and reasoning; inhibits directive or corrective actions; and invites disaster.
2. A characteristic feature of the period of economic summits is that, whatever the state of the world economy, the leaders of the principal industrialized countries will profess themselves largely content with the situation and prospects.
3. It is impossible for an optimist to be pleasantly surprised.
Counter-claim
Despair is the deadliest of all sins, but compared to hope you at least know where you are.
Narrower
Aggravates
Unrealistic policies [in 26 loops]
Conflicting social expectations [in 3 loops]
Conceptual repression of problems [in 28 loops]
Aggravated by
Reduced by
Strategy(ies)
Type
(F) Fuzzy exceptional problems