Other Names: Clash of civilizations
Nature: The clash of civilizations is occurring and will occur at two levels. At the micro-level, adjacent groups along the fault lines between civilizations struggle, often violently, for the control of territory and each other. At the macro-level, states from different civilizations compete for relative military and economic power, struggle over the control of international institutions and third parties, and competitively promote their particular political and religious values. The most important conflicts of the future will occur along the cultural fault lines separating civilizations.
Incidence: The clashes between civilizations are replacing the political and ideological boundaries of the Cold War as the flash points for crisis and bloodshed. Situations foreseen include: confrontations between the Judaeo-Christian civilizations and those of Muslim heritage; confrontations between Slavs and Turks and between Muslims and Hindus; emergence of various forms of ethnic cleansing in all regions.
Claim: The next war, if there is a next war, will be a war between civilizations.
Problem Type: A: Abstract Fundamental Problems
Date of last update 20.04.1998 – 00:00 CEST