Recurring mass extinctions of species

Other Names:
Periodic mass extinction due to comet showers
Ecological collapse
Accelerating extinction of life

Ninety nine point nine percent of the species that ever lived on Earth are now extinct. After analysis of data of 9,250 extinct life forms, there is evidence to indicate that massive extinctions of species have occurred once every 26 million years over the last 250 million years. On this basis the next mass extinction is due in 14.7 million years, more or less. Some people believe we are currently in such a period.

No evolutionary process could anticipate ecosystem collapse. Most extinctions did not occur because species were somehow "unfit"; instead they were inadvertently caught up in huge disasters that destroyed millions of species. There have been several of these mass extinctions, the earliest notable one at the end of the Ordovician period 440 million years ago; 85 percent of all species died out. Those that survived may have simply been lucky; their legacy is the species alive today.

All mass extinctions have been the result of a tangled web of environmental changes. Among these changes, global climate change -- usually global cooling -- may have been the most consistently damaging factor. The most likely causes are gradual atmospheric deterioration or the drifting of continents, or perhaps abrupt catastrophes like gigantic volcanic eruptions or asteroids hitting the Earth. But just as important, many believe, is the dramatic direct loss of habitats as inland seas dry up and coastlines shrink or are flooded. Extinction stems from habitat loss.


Life on Earth has suffered mass extinctions many times in its 4.5 billion year history. Scientists talk about the big five extinctions in the distant past, when at least 75 percent of Earth's species disappeared abruptly from the fossil record. In the worst of these ecological crises, the end-Permian event some 252 million years ago, at least 96 percent of species became extinct. Hardest hit were the mammal-like reptiles that had ruled life on land for 80 million years. These were replaced by the dinosaurs.

Since then, there have been at least six major ecological catastrophes. The most well known is the mass extinction that occurred at the boundary of the Cretaceous and Tertiary periods, 65 million years ago, (known as the K/T boundary), and facilitated the evolution of mammals by ending the domination of dinosaurs. Ammonites, which had thrived in the seas for hundreds of millions of years, also disappeared. The cause of this catastrophe was collision of a massive comet with earth. The impact sent tonnes of gases and dust into the atmosphere, blacking out the Sun. Temperature plummeted around the globe. Dark clouds blanketed the Earth for months, perhaps even years, preventing plants for trapping the Sun's energy through photosynthesis. Marine algae and whole forests died, wiping out the base of the world's food chains. Everywhere animals succumbed to cold and hunger.


The dinosaurs' demise has become an emblem of the precariousness of our own place in the firmament.


Narrower Problems:
Extinct megafauna
Unnatural selection
Problem Type:
F: Fuzzy exceptional problems
Related UN Sustainable Development Goals:
GOAL 15: Life on Land
Date of last update
07.11.2017 – 18:26 CET